Every Assets Bulletin edition becomes public 48 hours after publication — 414 editions and counting of how our daily read met the market. Members read each edition the moment it's published.
FLAT SESSION: SPY -0.23% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: Wednesday’s session opened positively after a mixed but broadly risk-supportive 08:30 ET data package. Headline PCE rose 0.3% month over month versus 0.4% consensus and 3.4% year over year versus 3.7%;…
EVENLY MATCHED
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $764.20 (-0.18% daily, -0.47% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $737.93 (+0.19% daily) VIX: 16.04 10-Yr Yield: 5.26% Gold (GLD): $382.89 Fear & Greed Index: 29.2 (Fear) THE SETUP: ES is up 0.3% and…
FLAT SESSION: SPY -0.17% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: SPY opened at $766.70, only $0.25 below its $766.95 session high, but could not sustain the early strength. The ETF traded down to $762.35 before recovering $1.95 to close at $764.30, leaving it down…
LEANING CAUTIOUS, NOT CONVINCED (55% Downside)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $765.61 (-0.74% daily, -1.00% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $736.53 (-1.07%) VIX: 16.07 10-Yr Yield: 5.24% Gold (GLD): $377.91 Fear & Greed Index: 33.8 (Fear) THE SETUP: Monday’s session closed…
RED SESSION: SPY -0.75% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: U.S. equities finished Monday broadly lower as early strength failed to hold. SPY opened at $768.10 and traded as high as $769.54, but weakness across eight of 11 sectors pulled it to a $763.72 low. A…
CAUTION WARRANTED (61% Downside Risk)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $771.35 (+0.54% daily, +0.54% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $744.50 (+0.46%) VIX: 14.87 10-Yr Yield: 5.18% Gold (GLD): $393.41 Fear & Greed Index: 37 (Fear) THE SETUP: ES is down 0.3% and NQ is…
PRE-MONDAY: Futures Soft (ES -0.29% / NQ -0.30%)
FUTURES PRE-MONDAY READ: At 6:15 PM ET, the Sunday reopen is mildly risk-off: ES is down 0.29%, NQ 0.30%, YM 0.30% and RTY 0.53% from Friday’s futures closes. NQ trails ES by only 0.01 percentage point, so this is not a…
WEEKEND ROUNDUP: Setup into Monday's Open
WEEKEND HEADLINES: The week ended with narrow mega-cap resilience rather than broad participation. QQQ gained 0.41% and closed Friday at 744.50, while SPY slipped 0.28% to 771.35 and IWM fell 1.26% to 281.97. Small caps…
GREEN SESSION: SPY +0.54% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: SPY opened at $768.65 and traded through a $766.29–$772.28 range before closing at $771.36, up 0.54%. The index recovered $5.07 from its session low and settled only $0.92 beneath the high, giving the…
BULLISH BIAS (65% Probability)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $767.18 (-0.08% daily, -0.08% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $741.10 (-0.01%) VIX: 15.67 10-Yr Yield: 5.16% Gold (GLD): $391.69 Fear & Greed Index: 36 (Fear) THE SETUP: ES is up 0.3% and NQ is up…
FLAT SESSION: SPY -0.07% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: U.S. equities finished nearly unchanged after an early decline gave way to a steady intraday recovery. SPY opened at $763.96, briefly tested $763.25, then advanced to $768.95 before settling at $767.27,…
BULLISH BIAS (60% Probability)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY) closed Wednesday at $767.81, down 0.72% daily and 0.72% weekly. NASDAQ (QQQ) closed at $741.21, down 0.84%. VIX closed at 15.18. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.11%. Gold (GLD)…
RED SESSION: SPY -0.72% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: Wednesday’s session was range-bound but decisively negative beneath the surface. SPY opened at $772.75 and reached its $773.02 session high almost immediately, but demand faded and the ETF fell to…
BULLISH BIAS (63% Probability)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $773.38 (-0.02% daily, -0.02% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $747.46 (+0.81%) VIX: 14.87 10-Yr Yield: 4.96% Gold (GLD): $398.38 Fear & Greed Index: 35.1 (Fear) THE SETUP: Tuesday’s session showed…
FLAT SESSION: SPY -0.01% | Range-bound
SESSION RECAP: Tuesday’s session was range-bound and low conviction. SPY opened at $774.04, tested $775.14 at the upper end and $772.59 at the lower end, then closed at $773.44—just $0.60 below the open and near the…
BULLISH BIAS (63% Probability)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $773.50 (+1.55% daily, +1.55% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $741.47 (+2.88%) VIX: 14.87 10-Yr Yield: 4.96% Gold (GLD): $398.38 Fear & Greed Index: 33.7 (Fear) THE SETUP: Monday’s session closed…
RALLY DAY: S&P Surges +1.55% | Selective Buying
SESSION RECAP: Monday’s session opened with a brief test lower as SPY slipped from $766.39 to $766.03, but that $0.36 dip was quickly reversed. The index advanced $7.12 from its open and reached $774.89 before closing…
CAUTION WARRANTED (58% Downside Risk)
MARKET SNAPSHOT: S&P 500 (SPY): $761.69 (+0.13% daily, +0.13% weekly) NASDAQ (QQQ): $721.45 (+0.63%) VIX: 14.81 10-Yr Yield: 5.00% Gold (GLD): $401.17 Fear & Greed Index: 29.1 (Fear) THE SETUP: ES is up 0.7% and NQ is…
PRE-MONDAY: Futures Firm (ES +0.28% / NQ +0.39%)
FUTURES PRE-MONDAY READ: At 6:15 p.m. ET, the Sunday reopen points to a moderately higher Monday start: ES is 7,733.75, up 0.28% from Friday’s futures close; NQ is 30,034.5, up 0.39%; YM is 52,200, up 0.23%; and RTY is…
WEEKEND ROUNDUP: Setup into Monday's Open
WEEKEND HEADLINES: Mega-cap technology remained the week’s primary source of strength. QQQ closed Friday at 721.45, up 1.73% for the week and near its 721.73 weekly high, while SPY gained only 0.36% and IWM declined…
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